Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2. Bundesliga (Germany) · 2026-10-11 · Full time

Match recap

Hertha BSC defeated SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 in their 2. Bundesliga match. The result aligned closely with KickoffAPI's pre-match projection, which gave Hertha BSC a 51 percent chance of victory with an expected goals margin of 2.32 to 1.46. Both teams finding the net also reflected the pre-game model, which assigned a 69 percent probability to both teams scoring.

Pre-match projection

Hertha BSC host 12th-placed SpVgg Greuther Fürth, having collected 18 points compared with their opponents’ six. KickoffAPI’s projection gives Hertha a 51% win probability, with 23% for a draw and 26% for Greuther Fürth, while forecasting expected goals of 2.32 and 1.46 respectively. The model also gives a 69% probability of both teams scoring and 73% to an over-2.5 match.

Pre-match projection

Both teams to score: 69% · Over 2.5 goals: 73%

• Hertha BSC — form WWWDW, 21 pts (rank 1)
• SpVgg Greuther Fürth — form LDDLL, 6 pts (rank 15)

KickoffAPI projection — model-derived analysis from our own data, not betting advice.

Hertha BSC fixtures · SpVgg Greuther Fürth fixtures · 2. Bundesliga 2026